The headline statistics we currently employ to understand America's economy are profoundly misleading and, unfortunately, drive policy... Simply put, when you aim at the wrong target, you miss.
Gene Ludwig validly argues that official economic statistics like the U-3 unemployment rate, median wages, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fail to accurately reflect the economic realities and struggles of many everyday Americans, particularly regarding underemployment, insufficient wages, and the disproportionate rise in essential living costs. He further contends that these flawed metrics impede effective policy-making and the ability to identify potential societal unrest, advocating for the adoption of more comprehensive and representative alternative statistics developed by LISEP.
Ludwig overplays his hand in a couple of instances, using a bit of cherry picking and a questionable analogy to make the situation seem more extreme. These tactics detract from an otherwise strong series of arguments.
1. cherry picking • Ludwig omits some relevant data, making the government's statistical approach appear more flawed than it is.
If someone is looking for full-time employment but finds nothing except a single hour of work in a week, they are considered 'employed' in the eyes of the government.
This selectively presents the U-3 definition of employment, which counts anyone working one hour as employed, while omitting the fact that the government also publishes the U-6 rate, which specifically addresses underemployment and would provide a more nuanced picture of the labor market.
2. questionable analogy • The author uses an analogy that implies pre-revolutionary France and pre-Depression America can be equated with modern U.S. economic conditions in respect to an impending societal collapse:
The United States may be on the brink of such economic and societal unrest. The unrest that led to the French Revolution and the economic imbalances preceding the Great Depression are both cases in point.
This analogy ignores some critical disanalogies:
The comparison implies a deterministic link between statistical blindspots and societal collapse, without demonstrating functional or proportional similarities.
Note that there being one or more apparent fallacies in the arguments presented in this article does not mean that every argument the arguer made was fallacious, nor does it mean there are not other arguments in existence for the same or similar position that are logically valid. Also note that checking for fallacies is not the same as verification of the premises the arguer starts from, such as facts that the arguer asserts or principles that the arguer assumes as the foundation for constructing arguments. For more about this, see our 'What is Fallacy Checking?'
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